PBA Prediction: Can Ginebra Advances to Final By Knocking Off Hotshots

2022/12/20

At the 2022 PBA Commissioner's Cup semifinals, the Barangay Ginebra San Miguel leads their sister team, the Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots, 2-1 in their best-of-five semifinals.

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel drew first blood at the first game, 87-84, before the Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots managed to snatch game number two, 96-95, to tie the series at one game apiece.

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In the third game, the Barangay Ginebra San Miguel showed their domination, winning the game, 103-80, led by their import Justin Brownlee's 38 points, nine rebounds, and seven assists. Barangay Ginebra team captain LA Tenorio had 20 points while Scottie Thompson added 12 points.

PBA Prediction: Ginebra Advances to Final Knock Off Hotshots

For the Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots, Jio Jalalon scored 16 points and six assists in a losing effort. Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots import, Nicholas Rakocevic, was just limited to 10 points and 12 rebounds in 37 minutes of play.

In what could have been their final game, the Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots would try to extend the series in a do-or-die game. However, the Barangay Ginebra San Miguel would want to end the series as much as possible to have longer rest days ahead of the best-of-seven finals.

PBA Prediction: Ginebra Advances to Final Knock Off Hotshots

Manila Classico: Who will win?

In the third game of the best-of-five series between the Barangay Ginebra San Miguel and Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots, the Barangay Ginebra San Miguel dominated the stat sheets, both in offense and in defense.

In terms of field goals, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel has a 49% efficiency in 38/77 shooting, compared to Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots' 35% efficiency in 32 out of 89 shooting. In terms of two-point field goals, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel has a 50% efficiency, shooting 24 out of 48 attempts, compared to Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots' dismal 37% efficiency, only making 22 shots in 59 attempts.

The Barangay Ginebra San Miguel also dominated the rainbow territory, making 14 shots in 29 attempts compared to Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots' disappointed 33% three-point shooting efficiency with only 10 out of 30 shots finding the bucket.

Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots' woes continue until the free throw line, only making half of their 12 chances. Meanwhile, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel scored 13 points from the free throw. Coach Tim Cone's Triangle Offense proved to be a difficult puzzle for the Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots to solve as Barangay Ginebra San Miguel recorded 26 assists.

In terms of defense, Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots successfully manned the buckets with 51 assists and 24 second-chance points. They also committed 17 turnovers, one less than Barangay Ginebra San Miguels'.

The savior for the Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots was their bench, contributing 62 points overall, much, much higher than Barangay Ginebra San Miguel's bench which only contributed 17 points.

PBA Prediction: Ginebra Advances to Final Knock Off Hotshots

Assignments for Barangay Ginebra and Magnolia Hotshots

There is still room for improvements for both the Barangay Ginebra San Miguel and the Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots if they want to move on to the best-of-seven finals against the winner of the San Miguel Beermen and Bay Area Dragons match-up.

For Barangay Ginebra San Miguel, what they need to do is to continue executing the play by head coach Tim Cone, who became the most-winningest coach in the league for nothing. The Triangle Offense run primarily by guards LA Tenorio and Scottie Thompson proved to be a puzzle that is difficult to solve for Coach Chito Victolero and the Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots. The odds are in Barangay Ginebra San Miguel's favor since they are one win away from clinching a finals spot. However, Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots can still do things to extend the series into a do-or-die game five.

For the Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots, they need to practice their perimeter shooting after their dismal field-goal efficiency rate. Their import, Nicholas Rakocevic, can man the paint to get rebounds but getting rebounds don't give them the win. If they want to extend the series and at least have a chance to win the championship, they need to find their rhythm and find the bucket. The starting unit of the Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots also needs to prove that they have what it takes to start the game on a high note.

PBA Finals Preview and PBA Prediction

PBA Prediction: Ginebra Advances to Final Knock Off Hotshots

Unless Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots defy the odds and defeat the Barangay Ginebra San Miguel, it is also sure that the Never Sie Die attitude of Coach Tim Cone's team will make it to the best-of-seven finals series against the winner of San Miguel Beermen and the guest team Bay Area Dragons.

The Barangay Ginebra San Miguel knows how to solve their sister team, the Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots', game plan like what they did in three of their four matchups this season. Just a reminder, the Magnolia Chicken Timplado Hotshots just barely won their second game by just a hairline.

Most likely than not, the Barangay Ginebra San Miguel will advance to the finals of the 2022 PBA Commissioner's Cup, where they will face the guest team, Bay Area Dragons.

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